Monterey Bay - AI Match Simulations, Performance Trends & Statistical Data
Team Overview · USL Championship
Recent form (last 5)
Monterey Bay have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat across their last 6 USL Championship matches (67% win rate) - a statistically positive performance trend over this sample. That return of 13 points from a possible 18 reflects an above-average conversion rate over this period.
League Standings · USL Championship · 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GGoals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 31 | |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30:19 | 26 | |
| 3 |  Orange County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 26 | |
| 4 |  San Antonio | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:17 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Oakland Roots | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 21 | |
| 7 |  Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:22 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 | |
| 10 |  Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 18 | |
| 12 |  New Mexico United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 18 | |
| 13 |  Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 17 | |
| 14 |  Miami FC II | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:23 | 17 | |
| 15 |  Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 | |
| 16 |  Colorado Springs | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 16 | |
| 17 |  El Paso Locomotive | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 16 | |
| 18 |  Rhode Island | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 15 | |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 15 | |
| 20 | Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 | |
| 21 | Lexington | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 13 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 23 |  Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 | |
| 24 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 | |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17:39 | 3 |
Team Analysis · USL Championship
Over their last 10 USL Championship fixtures, Monterey Bay have scored 12 goals (1.2 per match) - below-league-average attacking efficiency - and conceded 13 (1.3 per match), reflecting a defensive efficiency within acceptable thresholds. A negative goal difference of -1 over this window is a risk signal factored into the StatsBrain model's defensive probability distributions.
Home fixture record (last 6 USL Championship matches): 4W–1D–1L - 67% home win rate; away fixture record (last 4 matches): 0W–1D–3L - 0% away win rate. The pronounced gap between home and away win rates signals a strong home advantage - a variable that StatsBrain's location-adjusted model weights heavily.
Statistical Modelling · USL Championship
StatsBrain publishes 1 active pre-match projection involving Monterey Bay in USL Championship. The next modelled fixture is Monterey Bay away against San Antonio on Sun, 5 July 2026. Each fixture page includes the full win/draw/loss probability split, expected-goals estimates and simulated scorelines.
Over Monterey Bay's last 6 USL Championship matches, the observed outcome mix is 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (67% win rate). That sample averages 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game - the baseline attacking and defensive profile fed into the current model calibration. For the next scheduled fixture, the model assigns Monterey Bay a 12% win probability (full split: 60% home · 28% draw · 12% away) - a direct comparison point against the 67% win rate from recent completed matches.
The current simulated scoreline for Monterey Bay vs San Antonio is 1–0 (0 for Monterey Bay, 1 for San Antonio)
StatsBrain's Monterey Bay modelling layer merges league scoring baselines, venue-adjusted home/away splits, standings position, recent form and squad market value into Monte Carlo simulations. Outputs are refreshed as new fixture data arrives and are intended for statistical analysis - not as certainties. Open the next fixture page for the complete projection breakdown.
Upcoming Match Projections · Monterey Bay
1Recent Results · Monterey Bay
| Category | HOME | AWAY | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals | 2.00 | 0.63 | 2.63 |
| Average Corners | 3.25 | 2.75 | 6.00 |
USL Championship8Monterey BayTulsa RoughnecksMonterey BayMonterey BayMonterey BayLexingtonMonterey BayColorado SpringsFrequently Asked Questions · Monterey Bay
9What is Monterey Bay's recent form?
Across their last 6 USL Championship fixtures, Monterey Bay have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat - a 67% win rate over that sample. StatsBrain's model weights this short-term trend in its outcome probability distributions.
How many goals does Monterey Bay score per game?
Monterey Bay have scored an average of 1.20 goals per match across their last 10 USL Championship fixtures. Over the same sample they concede an average of 1.30 goals per game.
What is Monterey Bay's home record?
In their last 10 home USL Championship fixtures, Monterey Bay have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 - a 40% home win rate. They average 1.1 goals per home match over that period.
What is Monterey Bay's away record?
Away from home, Monterey Bay have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 USL Championship away fixtures - a 0% away win rate. They score an average of 0.6 goals per away match.