Tulsa Roughnecks vs Hartford Athletic — Statistical Analysis, Historical Data & AI Match Projections
USL Championship2026-05-23 · 03:30
Tulsa Roughnecks€3.73mAlternative high-probability score range based on the stats. The main score above remains the primary StatsBrain AI statistical projection.
Hartford Athletic€3.08mWelcome to ONEOK Field in Tulsa, where the electric atmosphere is set to ignite as the Roughnecks prepare to host Hartford Athletic. This fixture represents a fascinating clash in the competitive landscape of American soccer, with both sides eager to assert their dominance and climb the standings. Our data models paint a clear picture of a challenging afternoon for Hartford. With Tulsa boasting a commanding 73.62% expected win probability, and an offensive capability projected at 1.68 xG compared to Hartford's meager 0.4, the Roughnecks are heavily favored. Despite Hartford's slight possession advantage (52%), Tulsa's clinical finishing suggests they will dictate proceedings and secure a decisive victory.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 18 | DWD |
| 2 |  San Antonio | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12:9 | 17 | WDD |
| 3 |  Oakland Roots | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 16 | WDW |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 16 | WLL |
| 5 |  Orange County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 16 | DLD |
| 6 |  El Paso Locomotive | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 14 | LDL |
| 7 |  Phoenix Rising | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 | WWD |
| 8 |  Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 | DDW |
| 9 |  Detroit City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 | LWL |
| 10 | Hartford Athletic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 13 | LDW |
| 11 |  Charleston Battery | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 | DLW |
| 12 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 13 | WLW |
| 13 |  Miami FC II | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 13 | LWD |
| 14 |  Indy Eleven | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 | DLW |
| 15 | Tulsa Roughnecks | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 | DWW |
| 16 |  Colorado Springs | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17:15 | 10 | WDD |
| 17 | Birmingham Legion | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 | DWD |
| 18 |  New Mexico United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 10 | LDW |
| 19 |  Rhode Island | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 9 | WLD |
| 20 |  Loudoun United | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | 8 | DDW |
| 21 |  Las Vegas Lights | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 8 | LWL |
| 22 | Lexington | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 | DLD |
| 23 | Brooklyn FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:14 | 7 | DLL |
| 24 |  Monterey Bay | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4:15 | 3 | LLD |
| 25 | Sporting JAX | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6:20 | 1 | LLL |
Tulsa RoughnecksHartford AthleticUpcoming in USL Championship
League →- 21 MayDetroit City1 – 0Miami FC II
- 21 MayNew Mexico United1 – 1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- 24 MayLoudoun United1 – 1Detroit City
- 24 MayIndy Eleven1 – 0Lexington
- 24 MayMiami FC II0 – 1Louisville City
- 24 MayTampa Bay Rowdies1 – 0Phoenix Rising
- 24 MayRhode Island1 – 0Brooklyn FC
- 24 MaySan Antonio0 – 1Sacramento Republic
- 24 MayNew Mexico United1 – 1Charleston Battery
- 24 MayOrange County1 – 1Oakland Roots
Recent results in USL Championship
League →- 10 MayPhoenix Rising1 – 1San Antonio
- 10 MayOakland Roots2 – 1El Paso Locomotive
- 10 MayNew Mexico United3 – 1Las Vegas Lights
- 9 MayLouisville City0 – 2Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- 9 MayHartford Athletic2 – 1Detroit City
- 9 MayBrooklyn FC0 – 1Loudoun United
- 9 MayIndy Eleven2 – 1Sporting JAX
- 9 MayColorado Springs2 – 2Orange County
- 9 MayRhode Island1 – 1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- 8 MayLexington0 – 0Monterey Bay
Analysis and simulations are produced by the StatsBrain AI engine and reviewed by our editorial team. Learn how we model outcomes in our methodology and who publishes StatsBrain on About.